Increased security measures likely in Papua and West Papua regions, Indonesia, for July 1 separatist anniversary. Rallies possible.


Authorities will likely impose heightened security in Papua and West Papua regions in the run-up to the July 1 anniversary of the separatist declaration of a "Republic of West Papua." Increased security measures are likely in Jayapura, Manokwari, Nabire, Timika, and Wamena cities, as well as Intan Jaya, Puncak Jaya, Tolikara, and Yahukimo regencies. Officials will probably monitor transport centers, including Jayapura's Dortheys Hiyo Eluay International Airport (DJJ), and government buildings such as the provincial, city, and regency councils. Heightened security is also likely at PT Freeport Indonesia's (PTFI) facilities, especially the Grasberg mine in Mimika Regency's Tembagapura District.

Pro-independence activists may stage rallies ahead of and on the anniversary, particularly in major population centers like Jayapura and Manokwari. Demonstrations and increased security measures may trigger localized transport and business disruptions July 1. Clashes between security forces and pro-independence activists are possible; any significant violence could prompt further protests after the anniversary. Mass arrests may occur if protesters get violent or refuse to disperse.

Pro-independence supporters could engage in acts of civil disobedience, including raising the banned Bintang Kejora (Morning Star) separatist flag, an act of treason under Indonesian law. Pro-independence fighters could stage small-scale attacks, particularly in remote highland areas. Activists in the region have targeted government and other public buildings during previous incidents; vandalism and arson attacks cannot be ruled out.


Use caution if operating near possible protests and fighting sites. Avoid any demonstrations due to possible clashes. Seek updated information from local contacts on any rally or clash locations and related disruptions. Plan for localized disruptions near any gatherings or fighting and seek alternative routes to circumvent affected areas. If violence erupts nearby, immediately depart the area. Strictly avoid any sites where the Morning Star flag appears (the flag has blue and white stripes with a red panel emblazoned with a white star). Heed all official traffic and security advisories.